Green Agricultural Development and Urban Carbon Emission Reduction: Evidence from China

Main Article Content

Sixuan Xin
Department of Agricultural Economics, College of Economics and Management, Nanjing Agricultural University, Nanjing 210095, China

DOI: https://doi.org/10.70267/icfmb.2026198399

Keywords

green agriculture, urban carbon emissions, multi-period difference-in-differences method

Abstract

Against the backdrop of global climate warming and China’s “dual carbon” goals, exploring the impact of green agricultural development on urban carbon emissions is of great significance for synergistically promoting agricultural green transformation and climate governance. Taking the establishment of National Agricultural Green Development Pilot Zones as a quasi-natural experiment, this study employs panel data from 288 cities in China from 2015 to 2023 and applies the multi-period difference-in-differences (DID) method to evaluate the impact of green agricultural development on urban carbon emissions. The results show that green agricultural development significantly reduces urban carbon emissions, and this finding remains robust after a series of robustness and endogeneity tests. Mechanism tests indicate that green agricultural development achieves carbon emission reduction by reducing agricultural fertilizer application, promoting the development of digital inclusive finance, and enhancing rural innovation and entrepreneurship. Heterogeneity analysis reveals that the effect is influenced by geographical location, topographic conditions, economic development level, and agricultural production functional zones. This paper provides important policy implications for green agricultural development policies, agricultural transformation, and urban carbon emission reduction in developing countries.

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Published
Jul 29, 2026
Conference Proceedings Volume
Vol. 19 (2026): Proceedings of 2026 International Conference on Financial Technology, Mathematical Statistics, and Business Analytics (ICFMB 2026) - Part 1
Section
Articles
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This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.

How to Cite

Xin, Sixuan. “Green Agricultural Development and Urban Carbon Emission Reduction: Evidence from China”. Exploring Science Academic Conference Series, vol. 19, July 2026, pp. 83-99, https://doi.org/10.70267/icfmb.2026198399.