From Black-Scholes to Jump-Diffusion: A Narrative Review of Option pricing Model Evolution
Main Article Content
Keywords
option pricing, jump-diffusion models, stochastic volatility, affine processes, emerging market options
Abstract
Option pricing theory is a cornerstone of modern financial engineering, but the classical Black-Scholes framework relies on continuous price trajectories, constant volatility, and lognormally distributed returns. These assumptions are difficult to reconcile with empirical features such as volatility smiles, fat-tailed returns, volatility clustering, and abrupt price movements. This review examines the evolution of Option pricing models from the Black-Scholes benchmark to stochastic-volatility, jump-diffusion, stochastic-volatility-jump, and affine jump-diffusion specifications. It shows that richer models generally improve cross-sectional pricing accuracy, especially for short-maturity and out-of-the-money options, but that this improvement is accompanied by higher parameter uncertainty, calibration complexity, and hedging instability. The review further emphasizes that evidence from emerging markets, particularly China’s domestic derivatives market, remains comparatively limited and may require models that account for liquidity constraints, retail participation, and clustered jump behavior.
References
- [1]Black, F., & Scholes, M. (1973). The pricing of options and corporate liabilities. Journal of Political Economy, 81(3), 637-654. https://doi.org/10.1086/260062
- [2]Merton, R. C. (1973). Theory of rational option pricing. The Bell Journal of Economics and Management Science, 4(1), 141-183. https://doi.org/10.2307/3003143
- [3]Rubinstein, M. (1985). Nonparametric tests of alternative option pricing models. The Journal of Finance, 40(2), 455-480. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.1985.tb04967.x
- [4]Jackwerth, J. C., & Rubinstein, M. (1996). Recovering probability distributions from option prices. The Journal of Finance, 51(5), 1611-1631. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.1996.tb05219.x
- [5]Merton, R. C. (1976). Option pricing when underlying stock returns are discontinuous. Journal of Financial Economics, 3(1-2), 125-144. https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-405X(76)90022-2
- [6]Heston, S. L. (1993). A closed-form solution for options with stochastic volatility with applications to bond and currency options. The Review of Financial Studies, 6(2), 327-343. https://doi.org/10.1093/rfs/6.2.327
- [7]Bates, D. S. (1996). Jumps and stochastic volatility: Exchange rate processes implicit in Deutsche mark options. The Review of Financial Studies, 9(1), 69-107. https://doi.org/10.1093/rfs/9.1.69
- [8]Duffie, D., Pan, J., & Singleton, K. (2000). Transform analysis and asset pricing for affine jump-diffusions. Econometrica, 68(6), 1343-1376. https://doi.org/10.1111/1468-0262.00164
- [9]Carr, P., & Madan, D. B. (1999). Option valuation using the fast Fourier transform. Journal of Computational Finance, 2(4), 61-73. https://doi.org/10.21314/JCF.1999.043
- [10]Pan, D. T., & Ma, Y. (2022). Option pricing with cross-feedback between self-exciting jumps and stochastic volatility. Journal of Management Science, 35(5), 127-143.
- [11]Kou, S. G. (2002). A jump-diffusion model for option pricing. Management Science, 48(8), 1086-1101. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.48.8.1086.166
- [12]Hull, J., & White, A. (1987). The pricing of options on assets with stochastic volatilities. The Journal of Finance, 42(2), 281-300. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.1987.tb02568.x
- [13]Fang, F., & Oosterlee, C. W. (2008). A novel pricing method for European options based on Fourier-cosine series expansions. SIAM Journal on Scientific Computing, 31(2), 826-848. https://doi.org/10.1137/080713016
- [14]Bakshi, G., Cao, C., & Chen, Z. (1997). Empirical performance of alternative option pricing models. The Journal of Finance, 52(5), 2003-2049. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.1997.tb02747.x
- [15]Broadie, M., Chernov, M., & Johannes, M. (2007). Model specification and risk premiums: Evidence from futures options. The Journal of Finance, 62(3), 1143-1181. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.2007.01232.x
- [16]Eraker, B. (2004). Do stock prices and volatility jump? Reconciling evidence from spot and option prices. The Journal of Finance, 59(3), 1367-1403. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.2004.00666.x
- [17]Gatheral, J., Jaisson, T., & Rosenbaum, M. (2018). Volatility is rough. Quantitative Finance, 18(6), 933-949. https://doi.org/10.1080/14697688.2017.1393551
- [18]Cont, R. (2006). Model uncertainty and its impact on the pricing of derivative instruments. Mathematical Finance, 16(3), 519-547. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-9965.2006.00281.x
- [19]Andersen, T. G., Bollerslev, T., Diebold, F. X., & Labys, P. (2003). Modeling and forecasting realized volatility. Econometrica, 71(2), 579-625. https://doi.org/10.1111/1468-0262.00418
- [20]Gu, S., Kelly, B., & Xiu, D. (2020). Empirical asset pricing via machine learning. The Review of Financial Studies, 33(5), 2223-2273. https://doi.org/10.1093/rfs/hhaa010
