Put-Call Parity Violations and Market Frictions in China's SSE 50 ETF Options Market: Evidence from the AI Boom of 2023

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Yijia Sun

Keywords

put-call parity, option mispricing, SSE 50 ETF options, investor sentiment, market frictions

Abstract

This paper empirically investigates the deviation of the put - call parity (PCP) in China's SSE 50ETF options market (510050 XSHG) for the whole year of 2023-when the release of ChatGPT triggered an unprecedented investor sentiment hype of artificial intelligence. Based on 15,604 pairs of matched call-put options covering all 242 trading days, we detected that there was always a systematic and persistent overpricing of calls over put options. We interpret this phenomenon as follows: The explosive market demand by retail investors on call options-a leveraged sentiment on AI-related market bullishness-out-weighted the arbitrage capacity of constrained arbitrageurs by market frictions to make corrections to the mispricing through a reverse arbitrage strategy (selling call options, buying put options, and buying spot options). Using quarterly dummy variables as proxies for AI market sentiment cycle, we found that by controlling time stage variables, the R² rose from 8.9% to 71.67% to confirm that demand dynamics driven by market sentiment rather than the specific features of contracts-are the primary drivers for the variability in the PCP violation phenomena. Compared with the baseline of AI craze hype in the first quarter, the quarterly effect shows monotonically decreasing, while the implied residuals bias the fourth quarter, which is still a positive one. Confirmed is that the permanent structural friction lower limit will persist even after the sentiment premium of AI fades. Our research result provides fresh evidence in terms of behavioral demand shocks' interaction with the institutional friction on in emerging markets, thereby creating option price biases.

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